Hurricane Drought? Not So Fast. Bermuda-based Research Says it’s A Climatological Myth

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BERMUDA — Forgive Bermudians for questioning the existence of a hurricane drought.

In 2014, Hurricane Fay lashed the island and its white roofs with 80 mph winds. Hurricane Gonzalo hit five days later with 110-mph Category 2 gusts. And in 2015, Hurricane Joaquin charged toward the island, weakening from its Category 4 status just as it spun by.

“A busy couple of years,” said Mark Guishard, a meteorologist and program manager for Bermuda’s Risk Prediction Initiative.

Funded largely by the reinsurance industry, Guishard’s program supports research into tropical storms, tornadoes, earthquakes and other natural hazards. Among its recent work: documentation that the so-called drought of “major hurricane landfalls” is a myth.

That’s important as more people from landlocked areas move to the Southeastern and Gulf coasts and memories fade of the many catastrophic landfalls in the early 2000s.

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RPI program manager Mark Guishard


Dr. Mark Guishard, meteorologist and program manager for BIOS’s Risk Prediction Initiative.